I have had a day to digest the potential impact of the of the Provincial Government's budget cuts on the town of Clarenville. As I noted in last week's blogpost on this same subject, we have good reason to be concerned.
As a service centre for the region, Clarenville has a high proportion of jobs that are filled by professional people in various government departments & agencies - most notably in health and education. In fact, one in four jobs in this town are government type jobs.
Based on the information/calculations below, I estimate that
the 2013 budget could potentially lead to the elimination of between 45-54 jobs in Clarenville this year - most of which are occuppied by well educated, younger individuals with families who are making over $50,000 annually.
No doubt, the Hebron ramp-up will cushion the
effect of these potential government layoffs on the community and on local businesses, however if our experience from Hibernia is any indicator, many of the people who will come to Clarenville for the Hebron project will also leave Clarenville when the project is complete. Hebron will be good for Clarenville in the next few years but it will not offer the same permanency of opportunity and place that government jobs provide and it does expose us to the uncertainty of a Boom and Bust cycle.
If these layoffs become reality, they will have a significant impact on this
town's business community in the near term and the sustainable growth of Clarenville in the longer term.
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Finance Minister Wiseman summed up the Province's 2015 Budget reality succinctly: “We are in a very different spot”. In a period in which oil is less than half the value than it was a year earlier, “different spot” is may be a bit of an understatement. Things have changed a lot in a year and the minister and the government is facing some serious challenges. Minister Wiseman talk to the Clarenville Chamber of Commerce on Tuesday evening focused exclusively on how and why the government is planning to deal with the downturn – while trying to have a minimal impact on the economy. In his address he covered the following topics – each of which spoke to the basic principles government has looked at in its crafting the budget: · A Culture of Cost Management A Refocus our Health System A Refocus of the College of the North At...
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